A voice of reason at the BigNeuro panel: "we are very very far from human-level AI... maybe decades or centuries" - Yoshua Bengio #NIPS2017
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It's odd to hear "decades" as being considered "very very far". That sounds very close to me
I take it to mean "far enough it's beyond our horizon line" (which lies at best decades into the future)
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Decades is practically tomorrow!
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But we can only make predictions when we have enough data and sufficiently reliable models. When it comes to "solving intelligence", we have basically no data about what it entails, and no way to model progress towards a goal we can't even define. We don't know what we don't know
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