That prediction could have used a confidence interval. 

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Also genetic algorithms and production systems. But even if Minsky was only off by a factor of 10, still close in geologic time :)
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Is there any way I could get hold of Marvin minsky's phd thesis? Could not find anywhere..
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Without proper problem definition one can propose such statement in X years we will have Y. But what is Y anyway?
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He was referring to Republican members of Congress
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wonder if we're going to have another 'AI winter' this time?! Hopefully not soon..
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I would say we are in an AGI winter.
End of conversation
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Poor Minsky. A great mind but he passed away never realizing that the brain is a massive timing mechanism. Even though his Society of Mind was really cool, the central importance of timing to everything in intelligence never crossed his mind. Rest in peace, Marvin.
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Long live SHRDLU!
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If you’re suggesting that Minsky’s estimate was objectively justified, color me deeply skeptical.
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