Human-level AI is often forecast 20 years in the future. I think that's overly optimistic, by a large factor, and I am willing to bet on it
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Alternatively, what much less impressive feat than housecat equivalence would you bet against in the next 5 years?
I would bet on something with comparable depth but a lot more narrow. On the sensorimotor ctrl side: ability to climb a YDS class 4 cliff
