Human-level AI is often forecast 20 years in the future. I think that's overly optimistic, by a large factor, and I am willing to bet on it
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I would bet money that in 20 years, technology will not be sufficient to build a robot with the level of sensorimotor control of a house cat
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And I say this while being deeply optimistic about the current progress and future prospects of AI. I think we're doing amazing
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A lot can happen in 20 years. I'd take that bet.
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