Human-level AI is often forecast 20 years in the future. I think that's overly optimistic, by a large factor, and I am willing to bet on it
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I would bet money that in 20 years, technology will not be sufficient to build a robot with the level of sensorimotor control of a house cat
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And I say this while being deeply optimistic about the current progress and future prospects of AI. I think we're doing amazing
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you know, Long Now Foundation
@longnow facilitates(?) bets like that, if you can find a counterparty -
I’d take this bet As they say, “the best way to predict the future is to create it”
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Are you talking on the software side or the hardware side?
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Both. You cannot factor one out. But the hard part is the software, clearly.
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Why, a cat in a house, at least a specific house, there should not be too many uncertainties.
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House cats are not house-specific. You can drop them essentially anywhere.
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I'll take you on that bet, 20 dollars? 20 dollars from today, how much would that be in 20 years? xD hahaha
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44 glorious future dollars
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