The thing with recursive self-improvement in AI, is that if it were going to happen, it would already be happening
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Some aren't, some are. AI researchers are the positioned to see where AI is going in the next 20 years
At least better than onlookers who were tricked into believing that DL works "kind of like the brain" or that AI aims at re-creating humans
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Conversely, for the "big picture thinkers", there's no excuse for not trying to run and modify some open code given how easy it has become.
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Some of my favourite big picture thinkers go as far as establishing well funded, non-profit AI research organizations
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