2) authors always overestimate the speed of progress, and the magnitude of technological & social change over time
In SciFi, two patterns are apparent: 1) authors only extrapolate from trends already present, and cannot foresee truly novel developments
-
-
-
Asimov saw intelligent humanoids in the 2000s, Blade Runner is set in our time, 2001 is set in… 2001. There are countless examples
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
Replace sci-fi authors with "humans" Is science fiction supposed to be predictive?
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Greg Egan foresaw cloud computing in 1994.
-
In Permutation City.
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
Up to a point - lots of 1950s/60s scifi is really about the cold war and racism.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Have you read the three body problem? Goes way beyond the usual scifi in imagination https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/20518872-the-three-body-problem …
-
Excellent read and imho correct analysis of (intelligent) life behavior in Universe.
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
what about in future scifi?
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
But then you have stories like AlphaGo where a breakthrough lead to an explosion of AI competence in a very short time frame
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.