Many people see a pattern in Brexit & Trump, believe that Le Pen is the continuation of that pattern. But History is made of random eventshttps://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/856208581577854977 …
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Replying to @fchollet
These events could as well have turned out different. As for modern nation-scale polling, it is reliable --within its error margins.
1 reply 1 retweet 1 like -
Replying to @fchollet
I know experts are not a hot commodity these days, but data and statistics are still a thing.
2 replies 5 retweets 15 likes
Historical patterns only exist as after-the-fact reinterpretation. Post-rationalization of a timeline that *could * have been very different
12:36 PM - 23 Apr 2017
0 replies
3 retweets
10 likes
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