Many people see a pattern in Brexit & Trump, believe that Le Pen is the continuation of that pattern. But History is made of random eventshttps://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/856208581577854977 …
These events could as well have turned out different. As for modern nation-scale polling, it is reliable --within its error margins.
-
-
I know experts are not a hot commodity these days, but data and statistics are still a thing.
-
Historical patterns only exist as after-the-fact reinterpretation. Post-rationalization of a timeline that *could * have been very different
End of conversation
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.