1. No system exists in a vacuum.
2. Any system that you do not fully understand is more complicated than you think.
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3. If you want something to happen, then your time estimate for it is over-optimistic, and inversely.
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These three rules apply to pretty much everything. In particular to General Artificial Intelligence and its prophets.
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Apply that to self driving cars and we have a problem.
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Pretty sure it applies. Fully autonomous cars in the wild may be further away than the usual "5 years" figure.
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Or you are stupid
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