The early signs of an unprecedented shift, the final consequences of which we don't quite dare to dream
The so-far limited successes of AI have attracted massive attention, not on their own merit, but because they are recognized as a presage
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So I guess you are saying: nothing new, just like in the previous AI bubbles. AI always had these promises in the near future.
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AI is hyped. but data availability has changed! someone will find a way in time to leverage exabytes of data using ML
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what's your justification for them being a presage to something greater rather than a prelude to a brick wall?
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we are making consistent progress over time, which is what matters. The timeline is secondary. 20 years or 1000 years, it's only scale.
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Dreyfus wrote a book over 40 years ago attempting to explain the irrational optimism of AI advocates - too bad they don't read it any more.
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we all follow hype cycle expectations explode, are disappointed, moderated but if AI is scale of industrializ. we're in for a ride
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It is a very slow process designing a learning system that captures the structure of our world to best of all our knowledge.
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And any predictions are therefore optimistic as we overestimate our own knowledge about various aspects of the world
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