what does it mean when people say something has a 30-40% chance of happening? aren't bernoulli distributions quantifiable by a single value?
@fulhack It's meta-probability. They're quantifying the incertitude in their decision to pick one probability distribution over another. 35%
-
-
@fchollet doesn't that just collapse to a bernoulli posterior? or i suspect there might be something deeper with utility functions and stuffThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
@fchollet in market places you would expect a bid-ask spread alsoThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.