Beautifully put.
Imagining various potential far futures isn't pointless speculation. It's how you put the present into perspective and contextualize our current choices. Just like reading about history, but in reverse.
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It's more like reading about realistic alternative versions of history. History, after all, is a single instance of a wider generative function.
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Could the future be a single instance of a wider generative function, like history? Maybe we just have an illusion of 'choice'?
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William Gibson once wrote that science fiction is in a sense a reflection of the times that the work was made
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There is a whole world of thinking in counterfactuals, I recommend https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pEBI0vF45ic … to get into it :)
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Except that you have an infinite array of possible outcomes with indeterminate probabilities
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its like MC roll outs. high variance
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I think you are being too kind. Until now, all speculations of far future technology and living standards have been so wrong as to wonder about their usefulness, except for entertainment value.
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Let’s see how we will manage this CO2 émission problem. It could be our last mistake.
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