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Most science-fiction is about taking current trends and asking, what if you extrapolate this to the extreme? If you can use statistics to predict the outcome of a critical political event before it happens, what else can you predict?
Asimov seemingly had two ideas that extrapolate from election surveys. Psychohistory asks, what if you could predict a lot more things, a lot further into the future? The short-story Franchise (1955) asks, what if you could reduce the sample size to one?https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Franchise_(short_story) …
The Golden Man / Philip K. Dick
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