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I always assumed Asimov's inspiration for Psychohistory was the rise of surveys (and associated statistical data analysis) for predicting election results, which was nascent in the late 1930s and early 1940s...https://twitter.com/sqcai/status/1454663492024340483 …
Most science-fiction is about taking current trends and asking, what if you extrapolate this to the extreme? If you can use statistics to predict the outcome of a critical political event before it happens, what else can you predict?
Asimov seemingly had two ideas that extrapolate from election surveys. Psychohistory asks, what if you could predict a lot more things, a lot further into the future? The short-story Franchise (1955) asks, what if you could reduce the sample size to one?https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Franchise_(short_story) …
I'll just be happy to be able to see the movie, without having to join Apple's Evil Empire to do it... #:')
Not missing much: Apple’s psychohistory has very little to do with Asimov’s.
Pitirim Sorokin was the first @Harvard professor for #sociology in the 1930s. His main work is a book named "Social & Cultural Dynamics". He was a Russian emigrant who witnessed the terror of the Russian revolution and the begin of communism in the Soviet Union.pic.twitter.com/k3P3aGSpAx
On the 2nd page of "Social & Cultural Dynamics" Sorokin predicted already a 100 years ago how a typical #sociology textbook looks like. Wonderful. 
pic.twitter.com/W70OWMtEV0
Microsimulation.
I have always assumed that the Mule was Mr Zuckerberg
It's been so long since I read the Foundation trilogy. Was there any discussion of chaos w/ respect to psychohistory in any of the books?
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