Do you ever need to get actual users and use cases if you can just keep churning out hyped-up catchphrases, hashtags, and Twitter threads instead? I guess we'll find out eventually.
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I've seen a number of hype waves over time -- some that I jumped on, some that flopped, some that worked out. Web 2.0, smartphones, SoLoMo, 3D printers, VR, deep learning, chatbots, wearables... one thing is sure, "web3" has the lowest content-to-hype ratio of anything I've seen
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Short list of things that I was enthusiastic about very early, basically on day one: web 2.0, smartphones, DL (back when all the ML folks thought DL was a fad). Things I was cautiously optimistic about: SoLoMo, VR, early crypto (2012-2013).
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Things I was skeptical about: chatbots, wearables, 3D printers, current crypto, NFTs, web3
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We can also bring up self-driving, which was enormously hyped up from 2015 to 2017. It was always obvious that it was going to be a thing, but I thought the timing was completely wrong
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In mid-2018 I made a bet that driverless taxis wouldn't be publicly available in the bay area by mid-2022, and another bet that they would be available by late 2023. I still believe I'm on track to win both
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End of conversation
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