I have been working in this field for the past few years, and I would say "yeah", it's quite likely. Think, before Photoshop people used to manipulate images with coding. A lot of coding areas will have that sort of tools.
In the not-so-far future, a lot more jobs will involve programming. And, accordingly, programming will get a lot simpler than it is today.
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Any data can prove that?
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"Low-code" is thus a thing!
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We are already seeing this with the rapid rise in no-code, low-code, and AutoML solutions. Not a bad thing IMO.
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No code AFAIK is more like more modern versions of Access. Great for simple jobs, but once you bring in the complexity you need professional devs to rewrite it. There will need to be a step change to really automate away dev work and reduce the essential complexity.
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simpler both means higher level and with a different interface. visual scripting is in its early early infancy! the future is squarespace for code -> millions of $ poured into a satisfying, approachable, progressive-disclosure-of-complexity UI
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Visual scripting is in no kind of infancy. Labview? Simulink? Been around for 35 years.
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I could see programming languages gradually stop being a thing as computers become more fluent in natural languages
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I'd say it was the opposite, the simpler sorts of programming are likely to be automated, which will leave us with the bits that require understanding and judgement that it will be difficult to teach a computer to do.
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which will mean that programming will become more interesting/fun, but for fewer of us.
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