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When your success is determined by objective reality -- user adoption, economic viability -- you're incentivized to deliver. When your success is determined by convincing people that your ideas are right and important, you're incentivized to deceive...
Research fields come in two flavors: those where your career progresses when you actually get something right (reality-grounded), and those where it's enough to create the appearance of getting something right (belief-grounded). Deep learning research is somewhere in between
As a result, the deception factor in deep learning papers is often quite high
Yes! Another way to think about this is whether your work is being evaluated top down (e.g. by authority figures/gatekeepers) or bottom up (e.g. by customers). You can cheat when evaluation is top down, not bottom up.
Some bosses may have good criteria and technical knowledge Masses of "customers" may fall prey to delusions, e.g. Ponzi schemes But you are more right than wrong, in a statistical sense For me question is: Do you eat your own dog food? Related:https://twitter.com/nntalebbot/status/1151559733788205056 …
is that what objective reality is?
Yeah that's kind of a narrow definition, eh?
Agree 100%. How do you change if your success is determined by the second one?
This is somewhat conflicting, on one hand, yes, metric-based evaluation is better, but doesn't it lead to very focused tunnel vision?
User adoption is an objective statistic, but the means of achieving it can be through deception. Oftentimes deception is a better means to achieving user adoption. There is no difference between the two
Might be your best tweet ever, or perhaps I'm reading too much in it For incentives we have darwinism and reinforcement learning We may need better (actionable) models for mass delusions and [epistemic] bubbles TBH: what to do about/in them?https://twitter.com/trylks/status/1374768620396548096 …
incentives
Subjective 
Objective 
: Bubble, [reproducibility] crisis, the reality check comes due. Finite game. Fixed. Status based: ⊖ sum
: Reality grounded. Compounding value. Infinite game. Growth. Value based: ⊕ sum
https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1374753832199057411 …Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.
