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Hardships and setbacks can be catalysts of progress -- progress doesn't happen without challenges. Decline happens when we lose the ability to respond to challenges. Collapse happens when decline accelerates past a point of no return
I think the coming hardships are more likely to become catalysts of progress than triggers of collapse
I strongly recommend this book from the late great Ronnie Ellenblaum. And also @Byzanzforscher replies and criticism.https://books.google.fr/books/about/The_Collapse_of_the_Eastern_Mediterranea.html?id=V42h5LacG8gC&printsec=frontcover&source=kp_read_button&redir_esc=y …
There will also be some ideas on this in my two forthcoming volumes on #climate, #pandemics and the transformation of the old world in #antiquity and #middleages; a first glimpse provides the booktrailer:https://youtu.be/mg15pkgNxnA
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