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For the record, I don't think civilization will collapse in the near future (within the next 400 years). Not even as a consequence of catastrophic climate change over the next two centuries. But we will go through some pretty rough patches
Our particular civilization, as a system, features significant structural risk factors that could enable collapse, but it also has important collapse-preventing characteristics. I think the latter factors will win out
Hardships and setbacks can be catalysts of progress -- progress doesn't happen without challenges. Decline happens when we lose the ability to respond to challenges. Collapse happens when decline accelerates past a point of no return
I think the coming hardships are more likely to become catalysts of progress than triggers of collapse
interesting stress test january 20th
Decentralization first and foremost.
No, civilization as a whole will endure. But *specific* societies WILL collapse:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JsT9V3WQiNA …
Existential risks are underrated and underfunded, should be funded with tend of billions to reduce odds further!
Which are these collapse-preventing characteristics?
Have you read The Three Body Problem (sci-fi novel)?
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