Factors of decline are multiplicative. E.g. cultural & educational deterioration leads to an incompetent government. An incompetent government makes a pandemic much worse. A bad pandemic accelerates institutional decline
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2020 was definitely a step backwards. If you're wondering how great civilizations can end up collapsing: they just have many 2020s in a row over several decades, with exponentially compounding cascade effects at each new development.
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For the record, I don't think civilization will collapse in the near future (within the next 400 years). Not even as a consequence of catastrophic climate change over the next two centuries. But we will go through some pretty rough patches
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Our particular civilization, as a system, features significant structural risk factors that could enable collapse, but it also has important collapse-preventing characteristics. I think the latter factors will win out
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Hardships and setbacks can be catalysts of progress -- progress doesn't happen without challenges. Decline happens when we lose the ability to respond to challenges. Collapse happens when decline accelerates past a point of no return
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I think the coming hardships are more likely to become catalysts of progress than triggers of collapse
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End of conversation
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Father I can’t wait for the apocalypse
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@WajahatAli that^^ that's why we shouldn't move onThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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2020 wasn't the beginning, though. The beginning was in the 80s.
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And plagues feature frequently in such stories.
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