Given a supply of energy and a lot of time, random search (and a selection criterion) is enough for order to emerge out of chaos. If you're not in a hurry, you can solve any problem this way. No intelligence required.
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That's likely how life originally emerged: random search over molecule combinations, producing increasingly complex molecules, amino acids, and proteins, until hitting the first assemblage that could spontaneously copy itself. Not unlike random-search powered program synthesis
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The history of life has been a lengthy upgrade from random search to genetic search. The next upgrade is intelligent design: humans (and their AI assistants) designing what's next
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probability of something so unlikely is so hard comprehend for those where it became a reality. It's hard for some to comprehend that we're a game of chance.
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It works both ways. We have no proof that it is all chance; and yet we cannot disprove that it could all be a game of dice.
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Too many ‘leaps of faith’ there. It may turn out this way, yes- but the edifice of causes is not convincing. It was and will remain a mystery, wonder.
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not really a leap of faith to say the first stage of life was random jiggling of atoms
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Looking at what's been happening to e.g. wolves -> dogs over the past few thousand years, that step is already taken. And most of the time, our messing around with the actual genetic code is as much trial and error as that was.
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I hope the first AGI is not made like that, I would think the vast majority of intelligent minds would not care about being nice to humans. As eliezer put it "The AI does not hate you, nor does it love you, but you are made out of atoms which it can use for something else."
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So you start off with simple, deterministic search algorithms, so simple they couldn’t be imbued with anything significant. then later, what emerged were “agents” (distinct from environment) with top-down control, ready to determine the next state of the
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Looks too anthropocentric, humans are copying evolution in order to create AGI, evolution doesn't need to copy humans to generated what's next and beyond our understanding of what we call intelligence or anything else above it.
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Or, to use a less loaded phrasing, the next upgrade is Bayesian search
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Unless we managed to make ourselves extinct by our own stupidity and hubris which has higher probability of happening, IMO.
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