As I understand, the main productivity issue in the Covid era comes from school closures. A fully distributed workforce is not in itself an obstacle to success. To the contrary.
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The idea that everyone who can work remotely will be forced to return to crowded open offices in a year -- after 1.5 yr of effective fully-remote work -- seems far-fetched. Especially in the Bay Area, which is going to have 4 months of toxic smoke next year, and the one after
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It won't return to the way it was. The future is mixed office/home environment, on a timeshared basis, with much less office density & more remote offices. The technology to enable this has existed for quite some time but it ironically took a pandemic to push through resistance.
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From afar it seems like there can't be much left to burn. There must be some kind of action that can reduce the risks.
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I find "effective fully-remote" is a bit stretched. I think (purely observational and shared experiences) that distributed teams (people who shared physical spaces, converted to WFH) are much more effective than fully-remote teams (people who have never seen each other irl)
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On learning, there's even a randomized trial (on this particular econ setting) that outcomes measured on test performance were significantly lower on purely-online sessions compared to in-place learning. Can check the paper here: https://econpapers.repec.org/article/aeaaecrev/v_3a106_3ay_3a2016_3ai_3a5_3ap_3a378-82.htm …
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No ones going to force me to get on a crowded MUNI for 30+ mins, only to arrive at 16-story building where I again have to wait for an elevator for 5-10 mins. And that’s only if virus protocols are still not in effect—that elevator wait will assuredly be longer re:safety reasons
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Stairs aren’t an option—I’d be a dripping, sweaty mess by the time I get to my desk
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Sadly, I expect that many employers plan on having their employees now work at the office AND at home -- the latter is no longer work-proof.
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On the other hand, most employment offers I'm seeing make it very clear that office work is expected from April next year
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Top-down vs bottom-up / Theory vs practice Yes, remote work _should_ be the new normal
_Will_ remote work ever be the new normal? 
How often are things the way they should be? 
This is fine… 
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