There were fewer bias corrections in 2016, but I agree with your cautious optimism.
On this day in 2016, Nate Silver gave Clinton a 82% chance of winning (today it's 83% for Biden). I'm pretty confident in Biden's chances, but keep that in mind
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More people need to be cautiously optimistic like us.
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I think it was really underestimated how much people hated Clinton. Case being places where Bernie won in primaries in 2016 he was routed by Biden.
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Kind of weird how polling numbers where a good predictor of election outcomes right up until we got this Manchurian Candidate.
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I think there were worrying signs in ‘16 we ignored that are just not there in ‘20. Clinton got a big bump from the debates that quickly decayed near Nov. Biden already had a steady lead going into the 1st ‘debate’. 17 in 100 is not nothing but I’m confident Biden’s got this.pic.twitter.com/8w4u7x3W6C
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Even a pair of aces going all-in in heads-up hold'em is only a 85% favorite. It's not a gimme.
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We don't take any chances this time!:)
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Keep donating. I sure am.
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