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fchollet's profile
François Chollet
François Chollet
François Chollet
Verified account
@fchollet

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François CholletVerified account

@fchollet

Deep learning @google. Creator of Keras. Author of 'Deep Learning with Python'. Opinions are my own.

United States
fchollet.com
Joined August 2009

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    François Chollet‏Verified account @fchollet 8 Aug 2020

    Hot take: the success of TikTok says nothing about the potential value that Vine may have had. Building a hit product is difficult and involves a significant element of luck. Being 80% right is not enough

    11:59 PM - 8 Aug 2020
    • 26 Retweets
    • 275 Likes
    • Krsna ken Chirag Shetty Monitaur pankaj mehar fly51fly ⎊ Vipul Sharma Read Kraus almohandis
    13 replies 26 retweets 275 likes
      1. François Chollet‏Verified account @fchollet 9 Aug 2020

        Even if you get the feature set 100% right, a social app is also a community and a brand -- if you don't get the right people to join at the right time, it's over

        7 replies 6 retweets 117 likes
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      1. Hitesh Kumar Balapanuru‏ @HBalapanuru 9 Aug 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        Timing and market contribute to luck.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. New conversation
      2. SaaS Savant‏ @SaasSavant 9 Aug 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        Stupid question, apart from discoverability, video length, and type of content were Vine and Tiktok really that different? Was it ever a possibility for Vine to evolve into Tiktok in and of itself?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Justin‏ @Trumpery45 9 Aug 2020
        Replying to @SaasSavant @fchollet

        TikTok has a secret sauce (good auto recommendations) and evolved from music-ly. There is no sign Vine was on this path.

        1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
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      1. New conversation
      2.  🇨🇳 曾骁  🇯🇵 そーくん  🇨🇦 Zeng Xiao‏ @xiaoschannel 9 Aug 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        I think of it like this: An R0 of 0.9 and 1.1 is only a 20% difference, but it's the difference between going viral and dwindling to nothing, R0 being the basic reproduction number And one would expect R0 of a product to be some sort of normal distribution🤔

        1 reply 1 retweet 6 likes
      3.  🇨🇳 曾骁  🇯🇵 そーくん  🇨🇦 Zeng Xiao‏ @xiaoschannel 9 Aug 2020
        Replying to @xiaoschannel @fchollet

        I dunno I've never been viral

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. Itay‏ @TheRandomMtrix 9 Aug 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        like the spread of a virus or religion ... I guess you read Fooled By Randomness / Taleb if not read this book (The rest of Taleb books are not at the same level) :-)

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. anotheryou‏ @any_other_you 9 Aug 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        I tried instagram, snapchat and tiktok basically for the first time all at the same time. tiktok was miles ahead in the UI for quick tinder-like skipping through content, even though it's way more complex than tinder.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Francesco Gadaleta‏ @ThisIsFrag 9 Aug 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        Ideas are cheap. Execution is key.

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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      1. Mr‏ @Mr27635958 9 Aug 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        Beware of China, you think they are nice because tiktok has market, no one hates China but I tell you if China gains world dominance, it will be tragic very well for you, China is no good to handle crucial matters that affects lots of people world wide.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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