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fchollet's profile
François Chollet
François Chollet
François Chollet
Verified account
@fchollet

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François CholletVerified account

@fchollet

Deep learning @google. Creator of Keras. Author of 'Deep Learning with Python'. Opinions are my own.

United States
fchollet.com
Joined August 2009

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    1. François Chollet‏Verified account @fchollet 12 May 2020

      Arguably, the 20 year period that saw the fastest rate of technological & scientific change was 1880-1900, when much of the Western world transitioned from pre-industrial to industrial. We went from no skyscrapers to 300+m towers & 100+m buildings, from 0 cars to thousands, etc.

      6 replies 19 retweets 172 likes
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    2. François Chollet‏Verified account @fchollet 12 May 2020

      Another strong contender would be 1940-1960. Nuclear technology, spaceflight, jet engines, computers, most electronics, etc.

      4 replies 1 retweet 67 likes
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    3. François Chollet‏Verified account @fchollet 12 May 2020

      As for the recent past -- do you feel like technological & scientific progress has been faster, slower, or about the same from 1980 to 2000 compared to 2000-2020?

      3 replies 3 retweets 8 likes
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    4. François Chollet‏Verified account @fchollet 12 May 2020

      1980-2000: personal computers, the Internet. 2000-2020: ubiquitous smartphones, wireless Internet, most things move from offline to online. You experienced 2000-2020, and a number of you also experienced 1980-2000. So this poll should be interesting.

      5 replies 1 retweet 23 likes
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      François Chollet‏Verified account @fchollet 12 May 2020

      And follow-up: do you expect science & technology to change more over the next 20 years compared to 2000-2020?

      8:36 AM - 12 May 2020
      • 9 Likes
      • Vivek Mishra Yuri Matheus Andrew Pynch Shahar Christian Cahig Matthew Teow Daniel Zarzecki Lukas Spranger
      7 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
        1. François Chollet‏Verified account @fchollet 12 May 2020

          It is a general fact of human nature that on average people are more optimistic than warranted by their own experience, and expect more of the future than what has been happening in the past -- so I know where this is going

          7 replies 2 retweets 37 likes
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        1. Ron Factcheck: True‏ @TechRonic9876 12 May 2020
          Replying to @fchollet

          I voted “about the same” and “more change” I’ve long believed we’re going to see some major biotech breakthroughs in the next decade rivaling what’s happened in computing, but covid19 drastically increases this chance IMO

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Michael Z.‏ @meamZ_MZ 12 May 2020
          Replying to @arnauddsm @fchollet

          "Hardware will peak soon"... Yeah... Moores law is gonna end. It's allways gonna end in 5-10 years... Listen to Jim Keller to hear why that's not gonna happen...

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. trylks‏ @trylks 12 May 2020
          Replying to @fchollet

          trylks Retweeted trylks

          Noteworthy, wrt time, tech may: 🍑 give: dishwasher, washing machine,… 🍋 take: social media, video streaming,… 🍊 return: education, skills, growth,… 🍎 broaden: tools to expand meaningful capabilities Too many 🍋: tech may prevent itself further onhttps://twitter.com/trylks/status/1258430644797026305 …

          trylks added,

          trylks @trylks
          Replying to @Prigoose
          The hive mind might be becoming more stupid over time, e.g. more populism The laws that govern evolution & intelligence may create beings intelligent enough to create societies, causing the collapse of intelligence; first individual, and consequently collective A great filter…
          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Johann von bored‏ @johannvonbored 12 May 2020
          Replying to @fchollet

          I voted "More change in 2020-2040" but then i thought maybe the change will be more slow because of the increasing complexity.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Andrei Margeloiu‏ @AndreiMargeloiu 12 May 2020
          Replying to @johannvonbored @fchollet

          You could have used the argument with "mode complexity" to extrapolate to 2000-2020, and it would have not hold.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Aaron Viviano‏ @AaronViviano 12 May 2020
          Replying to @fchollet

          Since tech advancement in the last 40 years has been via improving Von Neumann based architectures and those are reaching the end of their S curve, I'd likely say no. However, there is a ton of growth in Biotech that may largely offset the down turn in chip improvements.

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