Every day since the pandemic started, there have been people claiming we were already past the peak. Let's be clear: we are not past the peak.pic.twitter.com/bhtbFw2DBM
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We were not past the peak two weeks ago (when everyone was hammering it non stop). We are not past the peak today (while everyone takes it as a given).https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1249048563008462853?s=19 …
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Cumulative graphs don't have peaks, ever. A 'new cases per week' graph is more appropriate to talk about peaks or lack thereof.
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You do realize you are taking about a graph that is not cumulative, right? It's a graph of active cases. At some point it will peak, and eventually go to zero.
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The active case graph is the culture total infection graph minus a lagged smoothed out version of itself. You should be able to detect a peak before it's reflected in the active case numbers.
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look at mortalities: https://covid-19.tacc.utexas.edu/projections/
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