The current level of lockdown in the US seems to be yielding linear growth for the virus (to be confirmed over the next couple of weeks). With a fairly high slope. This isn't good.
We need #TestAndTrace at scale.
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Like in many similar "exponential growth vs exponential friction" systems, linear growth is the stable point. Or rather, oscillations with a period of 1-4 weeks around linear growth.
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The only way out is either herd immunity or mass vaccination. Which is much further in the future.
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Test and Trace would an effective alternative to get to a progressive decrease in the number of cases. We need Test and Trace. The real question is whether the US can implement it (perhaps some states can).
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"175 patients discharged from the Shanghai Public Health Clinical Centre and found that nearly a third had unexpectedly low levels of antibodies. In some cases, antibodies could not be detected at all." https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3078840/coronavirus-low-antibody-levels-raise-questions-about …
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Do you see heard immunity as a possibility, when many who have had the virus & recover don't seem to develop adequate antibodies to create immunity or prevent reinfection?https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1247719681483509761 …
This is very worrisome. Among recovered former#COVID19 cases, “nearly a third had unexpectedly low levels of antibodies. In some cases, antibodies could not be detected at all.”
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