(It doesn't, the stock market is extremely short-termist and tends to react to big changes long after they've already become obvious. In this case the market is likely reacting to recent "good" news about COVID-19 growth, and will be late in reacting to the upcoming recession.)https://twitter.com/cullenroche/status/1247387742599708673 …
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Replying to @fchollet
Is the market predictable because it’s late to react to obvious big changes?
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Replying to @_MarkConway_
Only in v rare cases (when you know a predictable event is so big that the market will have to eventually react to it -- but even then you don't know when). Since the market is irrational, it's nearly impossible to predict *when* or *how much* it will react to predictable events.
3:47 PM - 7 Apr 2020
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