Oh-fish-ul
Official forecasts have consistently underestimated the evolution of the situation at every stage over the past two months, but don't worry, the latest forecasts are definitely reliable this time
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More data ...
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Do you have data to support the claim of “Better Now”.
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nobody admits / understands / accepts it is an exponential
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Now do climate change.
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To be fair, some have dramatically over-estimated: https://twitter.com/AlexBerenson/status/1245416486879051778 … I think the only certainty is the models will be wrong.
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Yes, now they switched to overestimating, with 240000 deaths.
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Yeah, what I don’t get is if you assume 1% CFR (from cruise ship) and 14-21 days from infection to death, it’s easy to back project infection numbers. At 1000 deaths yesterday, we would need to have 100,000 infected 2-3 weeks ago.
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CFR have been rising in NYS - even though the scale of testing have increased. So even your estimation would be relatively off
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