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fchollet's profile
François Chollet
François Chollet
François Chollet
Verified account
@fchollet

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François CholletVerified account

@fchollet

Deep learning @google. Creator of Keras. Author of 'Deep Learning with Python'. Opinions are my own.

United States
fchollet.com
Joined August 2009

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    François Chollet‏Verified account @fchollet 29 Mar 2020

    Charts that compare COVID-19 impact trajectories on a per-country basis (both per capita or not) are not meaningful 1) viruses don't care about country borders, they care about physical social networks (metro areas) 2) response strategies vary from state to state & city to city

    8:56 AM - 29 Mar 2020
    • 13 Retweets
    • 120 Likes
    • bourbakis Shivam BLM. GND. M4All DOLA Kossi Seyram Juan Rocha Matthew Teow Ilias Chrysovergis Jose Lise GM 🦚
    6 replies 13 retweets 120 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Dave, BSc‏ @DavidNohejl 29 Mar 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        In USA maybe but in European countries the response in every city is pretty much the same for whole country, no?

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. Alex T‏ @DistrictOfAlex 29 Mar 2020
        Replying to @DavidNohejl @fchollet

        Decisions might be made by a central government with the authority to act in every city/region but the response hasn't necessarily been applied in the same manner. 1/2pic.twitter.com/VzWhfi612b

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Operación Matrioska‏ @alvarobotija 29 Mar 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        I disagree. Exactly because your point 1, charts could show which countries are taking better strategies. In any case I agree in general but mainly because there is noot a standard (or trustable) data recollectiion.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Vlado Boza‏ @bozavlado 29 Mar 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        Unless you plot loglog chart and see that whole europe is following same power law and USA is on the exponential xD

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Frank  💉 💉 Kilgour‏ @thebestbrew 29 Mar 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        Mitigation tactics are implemented per country e.g. throughout uk. So better to separate uk performance from e.g. Italy, Spain etc. Different quarantine/restriction laws.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. kelvindotchan‏ @kelvindotchan 30 Mar 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        It maybe have meaning in the end game when every country closes themselves off. The exponential rate trend of Italy is heading to a good place. Think Easter timeframe they may see the peak (when rate switch from +ve to -ve).pic.twitter.com/Xe6BkfuLxD

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. kelvindotchan‏ @kelvindotchan 30 Mar 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        Also, if u consider a country as a sum of exponential cases with diff rate, it will be overwhelmingly dominated by the most explosive cluster. Thus, doing rate measurement for a country is near the worst case scenario for that country. But good to err on that side.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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