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fchollet's profile
François Chollet
François Chollet
François Chollet
Verified account
@fchollet

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François CholletVerified account

@fchollet

Deep learning @google. Creator of Keras. Author of 'Deep Learning with Python'. Opinions are my own.

United States
fchollet.com
Joined August 2009

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    François Chollet‏Verified account @fchollet 20 Feb 2020

    The number one thing to keep in mind about machine learning is that performance is evaluated on samples from one dataset, but the model is used in production on samples that may not necessarily follow the same characteristics...

    1:55 PM - 20 Feb 2020
    • 158 Retweets
    • 662 Likes
    • ... Mujtaba Luís Espírito Santo Davide Mandrini Nicolò Campolongo Andrew Arun Rao Fabio Milano Gurunath
    12 replies 158 retweets 662 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. François Chollet‏Verified account @fchollet 20 Feb 2020

        The finance industry has a saying for this: "past performance is no guarantee of future results". Your model scoring X on your test dataset doesn't mean it will perform at level X on the next N situations it encounters in the real world. The future may not be like the past.

        4 replies 16 retweets 148 likes
        Show this thread
      3. François Chollet‏Verified account @fchollet 20 Feb 2020

        So when asking the question, "would you rather use a model that was evaluated as 90% accurate, or a human that was evaluated as 80% accurate", the answer depends on whether your data is typical per the evaluation process. Humans are adaptable, models are not.

        7 replies 29 retweets 188 likes
        Show this thread
      4. François Chollet‏Verified account @fchollet 20 Feb 2020

        If significant uncertainty is involved, go with the human. They may have inferior pattern recognition capabilities (versus models trained on enormous amounts of data), but they understand what they do, they can reason about it, and they can improvise when faced with novelty

        5 replies 12 retweets 115 likes
        Show this thread
      5. François Chollet‏Verified account @fchollet 20 Feb 2020

        If every possible situation is known and you want to prioritize scalability and cost-reduction, go with the model. Models exist to encode and operationalize human cognition in well-understood situations.

        2 replies 6 retweets 92 likes
        Show this thread
      6. François Chollet‏Verified account @fchollet 20 Feb 2020

        ("well understood" meaning either that it can be explicitly described by a programmer, or that you can amass a dataset that densely samples the distribution of possible situations -- which must be static)

        1 reply 3 retweets 63 likes
        Show this thread
      7. End of conversation
      1. Justin‏ @Trumpery45 20 Feb 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        Justin Retweeted Cassie M.

        My previously trained wetware learned that Owls sometimes have visible feet from this single new image:https://twitter.com/cassmarketos/status/1229473344480673792?s=20 …

        Justin added,

        Cassie M. @cassmarketos
        i can't stop laughing at this pic.twitter.com/xvvVj9i332
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        0 replies 0 retweets 13 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Andrew Kemendo‏ @AndrewKemendo 20 Feb 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        Wait, are there people that don't know this? Fuzzing tests, input constraints etc.. all remain as important for production inference systems as they are for any piece of software. I have over the years recognized a lack of basic product competence for a lot of ML engineers

        2 replies 2 retweets 21 likes
      3. François Chollet‏Verified account @fchollet 20 Feb 2020
        Replying to @AndrewKemendo

        It's elementary, but many deep learning researchers are not aware of this, because in 100% of the work they've ever done, the model's score on the test set was the finality. Most DL research starts from an existing dataset and stops at a test set score.

        3 replies 10 retweets 73 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Varun Raj‏ @varuntinkle 20 Feb 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        This is so true, I see people saying there dl models are used in production but there is no way to compare how good these models are in production, this is also one reason finance doesnt use deep models in production.

        0 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
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      1. Kev‏ @k_burrns 20 Feb 2020
        Replying to @fchollet

        Just finished a capstone project on patient similarity driven predictive modeling of clinical data, 22 papers with excellent model performance, but when I looked for a real world implementation...*crickets*

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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