There are lots of blog posts out there claiming to teach you how to use deep learning (typically RNNs) to predict stock prices, FX rates, BTC price, from past price data. Is it actually possible? Well, mostly not. A thread.
-
-
There was likely a short period of time in the past where using LSTM represented a meaningful advantage. Likewise there was a point in time where a DL trading bot that looked at past BTC prices would have made money. But not anymore, at least not at any meaningful scale.
Show this thread -
That doesn't mean that price data doesn't contain information. Only that this information doesn't convert to successful strategies for an average player. It's possible to show models that look like they would be successful, in theory. But you can't deploy them.
Show this thread -
Remember, you need an advantage no one else has (usually a new dataset). It's purely a game of information arbitrage. You can't recycle the same information and models everyone has access to. Unless you know you're special, don't even try. And if you have to ask, you're not.
Show this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
It is a false statement.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.