In late 2014, I said Go would be solved within the next 5 years (with the expectation that DL would play a role). AlphaGo certainly happened unexpectedly early, but not 20 years early. A few years early.
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I'm sure no expert actually said 20 years (around 2014-16). But there seems to be a meme or urban legend about it. Posting anything along the lines of "X will take at least Y years" gets multiple replies saying "but AI experts said beating humans at Go was 20 years away in 2016!"
For what it's worth some of the people who claim exponential AI progress also say "AI experts once thought AI would never beat humans at chess", but I don't think any AI researcher ever said anything like this
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August 9th, 2038. That's the date of "the singularity" or AGI or whatever people will be calling it by then. Can we get back to work now? ;p
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I believe Hofstatder makes this claim in GEB (which I thought was amusing when I read it)
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He said that it wouldn't happen without AGI, basically.
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