In the early 1970s, nuclear experts were convinced we would likely have commercial fusion reactors by 2000, and most definitely by 2020. Fusion energy research took off in the 1950s, and the path towards it was already well-understood by 1970.
-
-
This stands in sharp contrast with AI research, where no one really understands what "intelligence" means or how it's supposed to work.
-
Whatever the characterisation of the state of nuclear physics in the 50s, this is the crucial point. There is no definable “end goal” in the same way there was in the Apollo program, or that there is in creating a successful fusion power station.
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
OK I understand what you mean. I don't know what the result would be if we would apply the same Apollo effort in Fusion research. There were instability issues as well at that time and they overcame them by extensive testing and improving knowledge of turbulent fluid mechanics
-
Yet, in fusion there are theoretical unknowns. How confinement scaling works, how edge instabilities really work and so on. This is turbulent fluid dynamics with electromagnetic fields at three levels of modelling: fluid (MHD), 2-fluids and gyrokinetics. A theoretical hell.
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
Completely disagree. I am not any expert on plasma fusion after abandoning it in the 70s. However, as much as we don't understand turbulence in liquids, scale that up to a few million degrees, ionize the whole thing, and throw in strong EM forces...
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.