It's worth noting that TensorFlow itself is built on multiple pieces of software that have continuously existed for over 20 years (and several more that have continuously existed for over 10 years).
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I think there's a 80% chance that TensorFlow & Keras will still be maintained and will still have a significant user base in 10 years (2028). I think the probability that it will still be true in 20 years (2038) is about 20%. AI is a fast-moving space.https://twitter.com/stbnps/status/1043240759300894720 …
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Software frameworks are like the ship of Theseus -- the code itself may not be very old, but the names often are.
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AI will transcend the Unix epoch.
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I just hope the AI doesn't choose LISP.
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@pytorch is in it's own way to dominate tensorflow...
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Just look at every BLAS implementation :)
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You stated your priors, but there doesn't seem to exist any data to back them up. Google exists for 20 years. TensorFlow is not there even for 10 years yet. Usually predicting distant future of technology given the recent history does not work well...
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How did you estimate these numbers?
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Such estimates are often done by body part called “rear end”. They usually involve numbers such as 80%, 90%, 95% and 99%.
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