Whether an AI that plays StarCraft, DotA, or Overwatch succeeds or fails against top players, we'd have learned nothing from the outcome. Wins -- congrats, you've trained on enough data. Fails -- go back, train on 10x more games, add some bells & whistles to your setup, succeed.
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Sometimes, it's not about the outcome, it's about what you can learn from the process.
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I'd rather say "to extrapolate, the system needs intelligence and use it to perform its own sampling" aka focusing; self-supervision; self-directed trial-and-error. Or if you insist on static training data, I'd say you only need to provide an adequate model of the world.
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That's what I believe as well. The less data you use the more remarkable the result. It's also why I believe consciousness is tied to intelligence in some way, because that inner voice is maybe the best extrapolator in the known universe.
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by extrapolation, do you mean truly generalizing outside the range of the training data, or just the ability to generalize to sparse regions of the training data?
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This is the best statement I have seen to-day. However, generally, when the sampling space is actual and real, it is not ergodic (i.e. context dependent) and expanding it is not sufficient.
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