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Naturally, there will be an "AGI winter" of sorts -- interest in hyped-up "general human-level AI" projects will fade when it becomes clear that these aren't going anywhere and that the promises were empty. It is the nature of hype bubble to eventually pop.
Fortunately, this should improve the productivity and focus of our community, rather than harm it. Our biggest successes are still ahead
Tech ind. is like the drug ind. very self-serving and like the drug ind. producing superbugs it then has no interest in addressing, so will Tech ind. create serious problems it will have no interest in fixing. A coming winter? No, big fall/fail leading perhaps to a desert.
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