JavaScript is not available.

Jan 5, 2021

If you want to understand the history of passing in the NFL, this chart is a good place to start. 2020 was the highest completion percentage year ever (65.2%), and also the lowest Y/C year ever (11.1). Cmp% in BLUE against the LEFT Y-Axis. Y/C in RED against the RIGHT Y-Axis.

162

Apr 28

Not great...

Quote Tweet

Seth Walder

@SethWalder

Apr 28

Will McDonald IV is a reach at 15, according to the Draft Day Predictor. Here's what the model thought his chance to be available was at the time the Jets were on the clock. Note, the chart starts at 22 because it didn't consider his range to begin until around then.

Bill Barnwell

@billbarnwell

Apr 28

If you project the Texans as the 8th-best team in football next year - and that's generous - they paid 149.3% on the Johnson chart and 183.7% on the

chart to move up for Anderson. Difference equal to the 13th pick on the JJ chart and the 3rd pick on Chase's chart.

Apr 27

Aaron Rodgers this November

Apr 24

I do think they have at least guarded against catastrophic risk where Rodgers gets hurt, WIlson is the QB, and the Jets pick in the top 5 next year -- in that scenario, they keep their 1st round pick. And they can (and should) bench a healthy Rodgers if the team starts 2-8.

It's chasing tail outcomes -- the Jets traded much more than I would have for Rodgers. But they were out of options, and doing something with a 20% chance of working out that will be worth 10x the downside if it doesn't. But that would have been true if they paid less, too.

There is a small chance this causes the Jets to win the Super Bowl. So from that perspective, the cost is well worth it. IMO, more often than not, this trade looks bad for the Jets in 5 years. But the times that it *doesn't* will look really, really good.

The Jets were desperate for a QB and traded a lot for Rodgers. Not dissimilar for the trade up for Darnold, when the Jets were praised for not caring about the cost to secure a franchise QB. This is similar: the Jets are (maybe correctly?) chasing the low probably outcome...

That said, given that you can count on one hand the number of QBs who were good at the age Rodgers is now, I kind of doubt this was "new" information based on the 90% retired thing.

This is exactly the sort of thing an owner should be doing. A GM who is on the hot seat would be less careful about protecting future picks, but the owner needs to protect the long-term health of the franchise. Woody is smart to not give up a first or future first.

Quote Tweet

Wendell Ferreira

@wendellfp

Apr 12

Woody Johnson doesn't want to guarantee a 1st after what happens with the #Broncos and Russell Wilson, according to @CharlesRobinson. The #Jets owner wants to add conditionals to the deal.

Show this thread

N.F.L. Draft 2023: The Trends That Will Shake Up the Top Picks

Mike Tanier

@MikeTanier

Apr 13

My latest on draft trends, at

@NYTSports

nytimes.com

The success of Air Raid offenses, changes to college football rules and athletic defenses will impact the players selected when the draft begins April 27.

The Future of Geography by Tim Marshall | Waterstones

Tim Marshall

@Itwitius

Apr 11

Out in 2 weeks! The Future of Geography by Tim Marshall | Waterstones

waterstones.com

Buy The Future of Geography by Tim Marshall from Waterstones today! Click and Collect from your local Waterstones or get FREE UK delivery on orders over £25.

178

Apr 10

Happy #NationalSiblingDay brother! Hope you enjoyed this Cobra Clutch

(Ty,

@_SgtSlaughter

)

‘The Beast’ 2023 NFL Draft guide: Dane Brugler’s scouting reports, player rankings

Dane Brugler

@dpbrugler

Apr 10

2023 NFL Draft Guide is now available. #TheBeast (included with your

@TheAthletic

subscription).

theathletic.com

The Athletic's draft expert Dane Brugler presents his comprehensive guide to every prospect you need to know ahead of the 2023 NFL Draft.

189

893

2,896

Timo Riske

@PFF_Moo

Mar 27

Estimated 2023 team strengths derived only from the win totals on the betting market. The win totals are adjusted for the price and the resulting expected wins are adjusted for the schedule and the 9th AFC home game.

Tom Brady was the oldest starting QB in the NFL for 7 straight seasons -- 2016 through 2022. He retires one year short of the Marlboro man's record. Aaron Rodgers will, presumably, be the oldest QB in 2023. footballperspective.com/which-qbs-have

Mar 26

If you can't criticize Joe Douglas for overdrafting Zach Wilson, you've lost the plot. Wilson was a flawed prospect who only tantalized scouts who overvalued his huge arm and ability to make plays on the run and undervalued everything else.

Quote Tweet

Play Like A Jet

@Playlikeajet1

Mar 25

Replying to @jamiestuartTV @tawlshaun and @JetsOptimist

Yes, plenty of people on Twitter argued over this but in front offices ZW was consensus #2. 23/23 GMs surveyed had it that way. SF & Philly tried to trade up. JD got it wrong. He takes the hit for that, but let's not pretend like it wasn't the consensus move.

Mar 23

From 2012 to 2021, the Jets drafted 4 WRs in the 2nd round. None of them gained 1,000 *career* receiving yards in a Jets uniform. Stephen Hill Devin Smith Denzel Mims Elijah Moore

Mar 22

The Jets and 2nd round WRs - not a good combination. Joe Douglas 2021 Draft is now officially a disaster with Wilson and now Moore.

Kevin Cole

@KevinCole___

Rodgers has $58M guaranteed salary this season. Packers can option it as a bonus and spread it over multiple years, but no avoiding it without a trade or retirement. Packers have to trade him if he won't retire

Quote Tweet

Dynasty Onion

@DynastyOnion

Replying to @DynastyOnion and @KevinCole___

Like I'd both sides call each others bluff, how does it play out? I think the Packers can survive it. Gute should be saying "the only thing I can't survive is trading Aaron rodgers for virtually nothing"

Show this thread

Kevin Cole

@KevinCole___

Joe Douglas and Jets don't need to panic. Ultimately they can go another direction, even if it's a distant second choice. The Packers can't

Show this thread

Kevin Cole

@KevinCole___

Thinking more about the Rodgers leverage dynamics between the Packers and Jets. If you break it down to who ultimately *has* to make a move, it's the Packers. They can't carry Rodgers into the season, but can wait until right before Week 1

Show this thread

Mar 15

“It’s time to have some fun.” Aaron Rodgers was Plan A—THIS off-season…but Plan B for this regime. Who cares? Why this move makes perfect sense for the Jets. #takeflight #RodgersWatch

1:29

1.4K views

Mar 15

One silver lining: Aaron Rodgers will see his cap drop quite a bit this year when he gets paid $10M for his work as assistant GM.

Mar 15

Here's a graph showing career TDs (X-Axis) and career INTs (Y-Axis, in reverse order). You want to be up (low INTs) and to the right (lots of TDs). Can you find Aaron Rodgers? Hint: he's the dot which is the color of his team.

Great move by Miami as Tua insurance and I think this is a terrific landing spot for White. As good as it gets to be with those WRs and that offense, plus a realistic opportunity to play.

Quote Tweet

Adam Schefter

@AdamSchefter

Miami is giving former Jets’ QB Mike White a two-year deal worth up to $16 million, per source.

Such a weird football analogy because I literally can’t think of any example analogous to this in football history and it also doesn’t even sound all that realistic?

Quote Tweet

Variety

@Variety

Dwayne Johnson reacts to bad #BlackAdam reviews: “Our audience score was in the 90s. Critics took a couple of shots. That’s just the business of it, though.” bit.ly/3JALU5p

0:42

2.1M views

Mar 9

Aaron Rodgers - 1 team interested Lamar Jackson - 1 team (BAL) interested That does seem odd.

Mar 9

Brett Favre vs. Aaron Rodgers, passing value over average by year (age). White dots are MVP seasons, gold dot = ring.

Ravens Use Non-Exclusive Tag on Lamar Jackson

Jason_OTC

@Jason_OTC

Mar 8

Some thoughts on the #Ravens decision to use the non-exclusive tag on Lamar Jackson

overthecap.com

In a somewhat risky move, the Baltimore Ravens have decided to use the lower cost non-exclusive franchise tag on free agent QB Lamar Jackson, saving at least $13 million in t…

Mar 7

🤫

Quote Tweet

Dec 31, 2022

I feel like this Giants season has high potential to be fool's gold. They'll make the playoffs but how close are they to being a contender? And if this season causes them to go more in on Daniel Jones and Saquon Barkley, I don't think that brings them close, either.

Mar 6

Currently shorting my Derek Carr HOF Class of 2034 stock.

Mar 4

I remember watching this and telling

“only the Jets can have a 90 yd run and not score any points.”

Quote Tweet

New York Jets History

@nyjetshistory

Mar 4

9/25/1994 Johnny Johnson w/ a 90 yard run which is the longest from scrimmage in @nyjets history. (Don't ask what happened after this play

) Gary Bender & @ADHadenUSC on the call for TNT on Sunday Night Football. #TakeFlight #Jetshistory

1:34

12K views

Mar 3

The only thing more valuable than a decent QB on a rookie contract is Daniel Jones at $4M/year. Will give the Giants a window to really contend.

Quote Tweet

Jordan Raanan

@JordanRaanan

Mar 3

Have heard in recent days there has been progress between Daniel Jones and the #Giants. Getting something done by Tuesday doesn’t seem unreasonable. It sounds as if there will be a four at the front of the annual salary.

Mar 1

Marcus Mariota cash payments by year in green and against the left Y-Axis, and his touchdown passes in black against the right Y-Axis.

Feb 27

That Harrison game was one of the weirdest/most remarkable games in NFL history. Here is what I wrote at the time, when Cleveland scored 41 points despite a passing game that was awful.

237 yards was the single-game career high -- exactly -- for each of Emmitt Smith, Barry Sanders, and Jim Brown. Willie Ellison had 6 100-yard games in his career, but a record 247 in 1971. Jerome Harrison had just 5 100-yard games, but 286 rushing yards against KC in 2009!

Can you find Jerome Harrison?

Feb 25

Norm Van Brocklin had one memorable game where his team won by 40+ points and he threw 40+ times. That was the only game in his career where he even threw 30+ times his team won by even 30+ points. He made the most of it.