Are there any negotiable market where those beliefs have a concrete price impact, which is amenable to arbitrage, one way or another ?
If a model fitted, it has no predictive value—any "prediction" is actually an artefact of the model's math. Thus, a first order linear differential equation will always spit out an exponential, whatever input you shove in it.https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/a-democratic-professor-explains-what-his-party-gets-wrong-about-climate …
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