To determine which side is firmly in power, see which side's positions are better understood by the other side.
Schools and mass media teach subdued people the ideology of people in power. E.g. in France, a few centuries ago, Catholicism, today, Socialism. People who seek and obtain power don't care a whit about the ideas of their opponents, only about ensuring their continued domination.
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I don't really see the point in trying to convince you, but if a farmer had to control their cows not via fences but via ideas, the farmer would be very interested in what the cows believe, and he would certainly not install his own beliefs. Popes are not supposed to be Catholic.
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You're missing an important subtlety: the farmer is not interested in the details of what the cattle believe when they don't believe his propaganda; he's interested that they should believe his propaganda. And indeed, he doesn't sincerely believe it himself.
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