— My climate model predicts that temperatures will increase exponentially. — Oh noes! That means that within a few years, the Earth will be hotter than the Sun, than the Galactic Core, than the Big Bang! [1/3]
The famous one is an exponential, that necessarily emerges from any model with linear differential equations. If you prolong into the future or into the past, the very hypotheses ensure exponentially increasing or decreasing outcomes. The absurdity of baked into the model.
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What model are you referring to? The climate hockey stick is not a model, it is an observation.
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The observations are a cloud of thousands of data points. The hockey stick is a curve obtained by interpolating those points with various dubious fudge factors into a specific linear differential model, then prolonging the inevitable exponential a few years into the future.
End of conversation
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