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eyokley's profile
Eli Yokley
Eli Yokley
Eli Yokley
Verified account
@eyokley

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Eli YokleyVerified account

@eyokley

Political Reporter at @MorningConsult. Formerly @rollcallpols and @politicmo. @Mizzou made. • eyokley@morningconsult.com

Washington, D.C., and Missouri
morningconsult.com/author/eli/
Joined December 2008

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    Eli Yokley‏Verified account @eyokley 26 Aug 2013

    Professor just said, "The more money an incumbent spends in an election, the worse they do." No way that passes a fact check, right?

    8:48 AM - 26 Aug 2013
    • 1 Retweet
    • Scott Charton
    11 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Matt Tharp‏ @matt_tharp 26 Aug 2013
        Replying to @eyokley

        .@eyokley Valid in regression analysis modeling the real world, invalid in practicality.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Eli Yokley‏Verified account @eyokley 26 Aug 2013
        Replying to @matt_tharp

        Nailed it. RT @matt_tharp: .@eyokley Valid in regression analysis modeling the real world, invalid in practicality.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Sarah Wood Martin‏ @SarahWMartin 26 Aug 2013
        Replying to @eyokley

        @eyokley I found out none of my polisci profs knew anything about campaigns

        2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Eli Yokley‏Verified account @eyokley 26 Aug 2013
        Replying to @SarahWMartin

        @SarahWMartin academic v. real world. I found something similar in the few J-School classes I took…

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Jon Seaton‏ @JonSeaton18 26 Aug 2013
        Replying to @eyokley

        @eyokley probably technically correct. How much do most safe incumbents spend? Usually not much.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Eli Yokley‏Verified account @eyokley 26 Aug 2013
        Replying to @JonSeaton18

        @JonSeaton18 I think an incumbent can spend because they're smart and because they're challenged. Two different worthwhile reasons.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Caitlin Legacki  🤦🏼‍♀️‏ @caitleg 26 Aug 2013
        Replying to @eyokley

        @eyokley @JonSeaton18 I think we need this guy's definition of "the worse they do." Challenged incumbents spend more, but still usually win

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Jon Seaton‏ @JonSeaton18 26 Aug 2013
        Replying to @caitleg

        @caitleg @eyokley I think that's right...I'd guess if you took every federal race in the country, the % would decrease vis a vis $$ spent.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      6. End of conversation
      1. Craig Arnzen‏ @craigarnzen 26 Aug 2013
        Replying to @eyokley

        @eyokley Fact check: Not a chance. That's a clown comment, bro.

        0 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
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      1. John Hancock‏ @johnrhancock 26 Aug 2013
        Replying to @eyokley

        @eyokley. Only vulnerable incumbents spend big $. Only vulnerable incumbents lose. His argument is a false syllogism. Spending more is best.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Jeremy Cady‏ @jeremycady 26 Aug 2013
        Replying to @eyokley

        @eyokley none.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Matthew‏ @blockstripes 26 Aug 2013
        Replying to @jeremycady

        @jwcady @eyokley There may be a downward curve at some point, but causality is likely reversed. Tougher the election, the more money spent.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Jeremy Cady‏ @jeremycady 26 Aug 2013
        Replying to @blockstripes

        @mattblock @eyokley that would make more sense.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. End of conversation
      1. Real Scott Wilson‏ @scottawilsons 26 Aug 2013
        Replying to @eyokley

        @eyokley not unless he just means % ratio of $/vote, or that it means they are in trouble

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Tom Wright‏ @Tom_Wright12 26 Aug 2013
        Replying to @eyokley

        @eyokley it does because it means its a more competitive race and thus they are less likely to win. Also if you are unopposed you spend less

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Scott Charton‏ @ScottCharton 26 Aug 2013
        Replying to @eyokley

        @eyokley Those who can do. Those who cannot....

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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