it is a national poll. if you really want to use polls as a prediction on how it will impact voters, you should only target congressional districts and us senate races that are competitive. a national poll is not indicative of anything but national opinion.
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do you think generic ballot/pres approval and other indicators are BS?
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I think the data is accurate nationally. but that doesn't matter. Control of the House comes down to 30-40 congressional districts and Senate about 8-10 states. so national data is just, interesting conversation. not helpful when predicting election outcomes.
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I was reading
@AlanIAbramowitz yesterday. A paper he wrote for@LarrySabato’s site predicts a -10 point generic ballot for GOP means -34 seats. http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/generic-ballot-model-gives-democrats-early-advantage-in-battle-for-control-of-house/ …pic.twitter.com/Fs8Hha6KRo
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I take your point and think it’s an important caveat, but I don’t think he’s alone in arguing national indicators have *some* meaning.
End of conversation
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This makes sense given the degree of propaganda from hack right wing sources saying otherwise
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Do you think the more you retweet yourself the more true it becomes?
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Wow. I’m impressed. That was Hillary’s lead on Nov 8, 2016. Republican are magicians now and they love “Sleight of Hand”. Misdirect. Misdirect. Misdirect! Have fun polling.
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Most republicans (everyday folks) keep their opinions to themselves, for fear of being shouted down or shunned. I speak at the ballot box.
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is that what the 4 followers in your head are telling you. Cold comfort for what is to come.
End of conversation
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