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eyokley's profile
Eli Yokley
Eli Yokley
Eli Yokley
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@eyokley

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Eli YokleyVerified account

@eyokley

Political Reporter at @MorningConsult. Formerly @rollcallpols and @politicmo. @Mizzou made. • eyokley@morningconsult.com

Washington, D.C., and Missouri
morningconsult.com/author/eli/
Joined December 2008

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    Eli Yokley‏Verified account @eyokley Oct 10

    This is a narrative buster, at least for now: • Pre-#Kavanaugh firestorm, enthusiasm was about the same between Democrats and Republicans. • After vote, GOP’s stayed put, Democrats’ rose 10 points. https://morningconsult.com/2018/10/10/democrats-widen-generic-ballot-advantage-one-month-out-from-midterms/ …pic.twitter.com/D54u8qYGCa

    6:35 AM - 10 Oct 2018
    • 36 Retweets
    • 53 Likes
    • Lani Corso Most(ly) Friendly Mich(ael)🏳️‍🌈🇺🇸 εїз™ Joseph Miller (((Toby Epstein))) Jane A. Hill RandoDeadpool C.J. Pitchford Renee Murphy
    Morning Consult
    5 replies 36 retweets 53 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. christianmorgan‏ @cmorganMO Oct 10
        Replying to @eyokley @MorningConsult

        it is a national poll. if you really want to use polls as a prediction on how it will impact voters, you should only target congressional districts and us senate races that are competitive. a national poll is not indicative of anything but national opinion.

        1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
      3. Eli Yokley‏Verified account @eyokley Oct 10
        Replying to @cmorganMO @MorningConsult

        do you think generic ballot/pres approval and other indicators are BS?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. christianmorgan‏ @cmorganMO Oct 10
        Replying to @eyokley @MorningConsult

        I think the data is accurate nationally. but that doesn't matter. Control of the House comes down to 30-40 congressional districts and Senate about 8-10 states. so national data is just, interesting conversation. not helpful when predicting election outcomes.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Eli Yokley‏Verified account @eyokley Oct 10
        Replying to @cmorganMO @MorningConsult

        I was reading @AlanIAbramowitz yesterday. A paper he wrote for @LarrySabato’s site predicts a -10 point generic ballot for GOP means -34 seats. http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/generic-ballot-model-gives-democrats-early-advantage-in-battle-for-control-of-house/ …pic.twitter.com/Fs8Hha6KRo

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      6. Eli Yokley‏Verified account @eyokley Oct 10
        Replying to @eyokley @cmorganMO and

        I take your point and think it’s an important caveat, but I don’t think he’s alone in arguing national indicators have *some* meaning.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      7. End of conversation
      1. M‏ @marlinswillsoar Oct 10
        Replying to @eyokley @MorningConsult

        This makes sense given the degree of propaganda from hack right wing sources saying otherwise

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Jon Seaton‏ @JonSeaton18 Oct 12
        Replying to @eyokley @MorningConsult

        Do you think the more you retweet yourself the more true it becomes?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. City Hall Fred - Deplorable‏ @OmegaVox Oct 10
        Replying to @eyokley @MorningConsult

        Wow. I’m impressed. That was Hillary’s lead on Nov 8, 2016. Republican are magicians now and they love “Sleight of Hand”. Misdirect. Misdirect. Misdirect! Have fun polling.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. CNichols‏ @Peellite Oct 10
        Replying to @eyokley @MorningConsult

        Most republicans (everyday folks) keep their opinions to themselves, for fear of being shouted down or shunned. I speak at the ballot box.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Ty Ray‏ @coug88 Oct 10
        Replying to @Peellite @eyokley @MorningConsult

        is that what the 4 followers in your head are telling you. Cold comfort for what is to come.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation

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