"Crime in SF is down 20%" ?? This is very misleading.
Homicides are up 42%. Shootings up 32%.
Majority of the "crime drop" is driven by the decrease in tourist car burglaries.
Did anyone at @FastCompany check the (publicly available) data? cc @kristindakota

(1/x)https://twitter.com/SFDAOffice/status/1313627827556687873 …
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Let's start with the article. It has one crime stat in it (among much colorful prose.) "Compared to last year, crime rates in SF are down more than 20%." The stat is quoting
@chesaboudin from his speech at the@FastCompany Innovation Festival. (2/x)https://www.fastcompany.com/90558083/how-san-franciscos-da-cut-the-citys-jail-population-without-jeopardizing-public-safety …2 replies 1 retweet 26 likesShow this thread -
Next, let's look at the data. Here is the SF Crime Dashboard: https://bit.ly/3nrhh55 Publicly available 24/7 online. I have it bookmarked. (Obviously
). (3/x)pic.twitter.com/8oZ9AEM0Il
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You'll see in the bottom right the overall decrease of 23%. Check out the bars for larceny-theft. We had 26,000 car break-ins in 2019. If we are counting crimes in terms of "n" incidents, it's *very* easy to skew the data on such a large base.https://www.businessinsider.com/san-francisco-is-proposing-reimbursing-car-break-in-victims-2020-2 …
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Thefts accounted for ~73% of crimes in 2019. (31,128 thefts/42,935 crimes = 73%) If we had 26k car break-ins and 31k thefts, that means about 84% of thefts were car break-ins. Given our tourism has fallen to ~zilch - it's easy to understand why this number plummeted 38%.
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Meanwhile, some seriously concerning trends exist. Check out the increase in homicides. A homicide is "the deliberate and unlawful killing of one person by another; murder". It's up 42%! Burglaries up 43%, Vehicle theft up 30%, Arson up 45%. (6/x)pic.twitter.com/fKVKEKoA7G
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And, gun violence is up 32%. Our DA is quoted, "while the city has seen an increase in shootings this year, other gun-related crimes that don’t involve bullets being fired have fallen." What are gun-related crimes that don't involve bullets? (7/x)https://www.sfchronicle.com/crime/article/Troubling-trend-in-San-Francisco-32-jump-in-15585017.php …
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@chesaboudin said he’d drop gun charges associated w/ traffic stops. @SFPD stops charging felons/gang members w/ guns hidden in cars, therefore those gun crimes will appear down. I think they call that fuzzy math or fuzzy logic.
7-day gunfire says differently, 47 incidents.
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