Eva Vivalt

@evavivalt

Senior lecturer (asst prof) in econ at ANU, Y Combinator Research PI, AidGrade founder, effective altruist. Likes math & forecasting. Ex-World Bank, NYU DRI.

San Francisco, CA
evavivalt.com
Vrijeme pridruživanja: ožujak 2012.

Medijski sadržaj

  1. prije 12 sati

    Bottom line: not much matters, except the width of the slider bounds. Wider slider bounds seem to nudge people towards larger estimates, and this isn't an artifact of some estimates being censored with narrow slider bounds because the estimates are larger throughout.

    1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 3 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
    Prikaži ovu nit
    Prikaži ovu nit
  2. prije 12 sati

    But the approach used to elicit forecasts could really matter. We test out: providing larger or smaller reference values in the project description; asking for forecasts in different units (raw units or SD); text box or slider entry; large or small slider bounds.

    1 reply 2 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
    Prikaži ovu nit
    Prikaži ovu nit
  3. 5. sij

    Differences between perceived and actual support for research transparency practices, presented by at .

    3 proslijeđena tweeta 14 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
  4. 4. sij

    Ever wonder "Were those results p-hacked?" Brodeur et al. propose a useful new check ("speccheck" on Stata. R/etc. coming soon).

    17 proslijeđenih tweetova 89 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
  5. 4. sij

    Results from pilot of Social Science Prediction Platform: 4 crossed randomizations, nothing affects predicted treatment effects except slider bar widths. ( presenting joint work with Nick Otis and myself.)

    1 proslijeđeni tweet 14 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
  6. 3. sij

    Oh right, I'm supposed to share this other pic, aren't I? If interested in , hope to see you Saturday at 2:30 pm, Marriott Marquis, Marriott Grand Ballroom 13. (Unlike what it says in the program, we'll be going first, but the whole session should be good!)

    1 proslijeđeni tweet 13 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
    Prikaži ovu nit
    Prikaži ovu nit
  7. 3. sij

    Beautiful San Diego weather for . They should always have it somewhere warm.

    1 reply 21 korisnik označava da mu se sviđa
    Prikaži ovu nit
    Prikaži ovu nit
  8. 18. pro 2019.

    Nice results on an early childcare program presented by Matthew Wiswall at : child cognitive skills increase, hours of maternal/other care decrease, and quality of maternal care increases (due to reducing an "exhaustion" effect?).

    2 proslijeđena tweeta 8 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
  9. 15. pro 2019.

    Very important paper by Travis Baseler: young people in rural areas in Kenya mispredict wages in cities (migrants from rural areas have incentive to misreport back home), and providing accurate info can increase migration.

    29 proslijeđenih tweetova 105 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
    Prikaži ovu nit
    Prikaži ovu nit
  10. 15. pro 2019.

    Great initiative! opening up conference on scaling interventions in development economics.

    2 proslijeđena tweeta 25 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
  11. 13. pro 2019.

    Always a nice time in the UK... last week, Warwick, this week, Global Priorities Institute workshop at Oxford (partially on forecasting). Next up: Y-RISE conference... hope to get more sleep soon.

    17 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
  12. 2. pro 2019.

    Gabriel and I are slowly getting our photos back from our event, and I'd love to share but Twitter's a bit too public. So if you know either of us and want to see photos of a day of love, puzzles, and games, find us on Facebook. :)

    1 reply 10 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
    Prikaži ovu nit
    Prikaži ovu nit
  13. 18. stu 2019.

    Whew! Finishing up a trip to the Midwest, I headed down to UChicago (Hyde Park) and then their Poverty Lab (part of the Urban Labs) downtown. What a whirlwind day - but had a great time.

    16 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
  14. 14. lis 2019.

    A long time ago I signed up for to see what it was like, and today I got an email saying "You’re $12 over budget for Alcohol & Bars." Weird - did someone steal a credit card? No, no, it's just how they classify Overleaf.

    14 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
  15. 7. ruj 2019.
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    This conference is almost creepily responsive! Seems like they just restocked.

    4 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
  16. 7. ruj 2019.

    CIs were better interpreted than p-values, according to ⁦⁩ at . Super-interesting - I'll add there's a lot more we still need to know about how to best present evidence (e.g. what type of CI, plugging some of my own work with Aidan Coville).

    4 proslijeđena tweeta 23 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
  17. 6. ruj 2019.

    Nice figure from Carl Bergstrom:

    6 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
  18. 6. ruj 2019.

    New data on recent changes in research practices (broken down by field and methodology, too) from at .

    1 proslijeđeni tweet 2 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
  19. 6. ruj 2019.

    Huge take-off in study registrations in economics. at

    2 proslijeđena tweeta 15 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
  20. 6. ruj 2019.

    Fantastic talk by at : "social science as we do it is impossible" (in reference to studies not being powered for the interaction effects we care about).

    1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 18 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
    Prikaži ovu nit
    Prikaži ovu nit

@evavivalt još nije poslao/la nijedan tweet s fotografijama ili videozapisima.

Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.

Twitter je možda preopterećen ili ima kratkotrajnih poteškoća u radu. Pokušajte ponovno ili potražite dodatne informacije u odjeljku Status Twittera.

    Možda bi vam se svidjelo i ovo:

    ·