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Prikvačeni tweetHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Evan Driscoll proslijedio/la je Tweet
8/ The Black Swan by
@nntaleb (21) Cracked my world view. Truly opened me to the possibility that every authority figure in my life up to that point had no idea what they were talking about and I could/had to figure it out on my ownPrikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Evan Driscoll proslijedio/la je Tweet
Side effect of paycheck-to-paycheck culture is a total lack of slack at the societal level -- everyone is obligated to keep moving, keep mixing. We can't adapt.https://twitter.com/imleslahdin/status/1225109836813090821 …
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Evan Driscoll proslijedio/la je Tweet
These days I just try to let them be, in service of the larger truth.pic.twitter.com/KbDTuqjMRr
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If we cannot perceive and make sense of complex systems, including honesty about what we cannot know, we are doomed to keep trying futile interventions, to keep trying to fix things in ways that actually makes it worse.
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Recognizing our ignorance in this light, even without an understanding of the theory of complex systems, we can perceive ourselves as a danger to ourselves and those around us. We are fumbling about.
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yet we do not have the theoretical or practical understanding of complex systems that is required for us to use them skillfully.
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We engage with and use complex systems all the time - in the regulation of our nuclear power plants, in the organization of our companies, and in the conduct of our personal daily lives,
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This danger of illiteracy and lack of know-how is analogous to how we operate with complex systems today.
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This is basically how we currently go about conducting ourselves as a species.
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Imagine the driver has had no practice either, no understanding or know-how. They've never been taught about driving and they've never tried it before. If they get on the road, they are a danger to themselves and everyone around them.
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On Ashby's Law of Requisite Variety: In everyday life, it's much easier to understand it as a practical matter than an abstract one, so let us simply consider the driver of an automobile. Imagine a driver with no understanding of the theory of driving a car.
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Jeepers I hope
@samspurlin likes what I have to say.Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
[I wish I could replace all the attribution dashes in my past tweets with proper em-dashes.]
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"The rate at which a person can mature is directly proportional to the embarrassment he can tolerate." -Douglas Engelbart
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Low resolution warnings do not suffice when risk is great and especially when complex. We want to avoid operating with critical systems that can go wrong even when someone can reasonably say, "I did everything right."
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Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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I had a chuckle when I read this then immediately thought, jesus, I need a cry day in my schedule, that's brilliant.https://twitter.com/QiaochuYuan/status/1203465659700498432 …
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Another way of metaphor-ing it: you might climb to great heights with a fresh new habit, yet the fall can seem that much further.
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When you've got a great routine - a morning routine, for example - and you don't have it for a day or two, you definitely feel a routine-shaped wound. Imagine a day without brushing your teeth. There are all kinds of other hygiene to practice though!
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Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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