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1. Let‘s talk about the astonishing, multilevel, fractal stupidity of this tweet on SARS-2 seasonality from Karl Lauterbach, the SPD „health expert“ and chronic Eric Feigl-Ding retweeter, whose Corona hyperventilation has infested German politics for a whole year now.https://twitter.com/Karl_Lauterbach/status/1404845784420466689 …
2. Lauterbach: „Exciting & surprising study on the seasonality of SarsCov2 transmission. It could be as much as 40%“. He‘s talking about this preprint. For months now, it‘s been clear to everyone outside gvt that regionally varying seasonal effects are *the dominant* factor…https://twitter.com/eugyppius1/status/1404823752790192128 …
3. … determining Corona case waves. The case for containment has collapsed, as comparative data since the fall makes it ever clearer that cases ebb & surge within regions according to seasonal patterns, and that compared to these patterns lockdowns do basically zero.
4. But Karl Lauterbach, who never met a lockdown he didn‘t like and still gives interviews demanding moar measures, in this tweet reveals that he has *no knowledge* of the vast pool of data contradicting his daft and hysterical policy recommendations. He‘s just a clueless idiot.
5. Lauterbach. „Previous studies placed this value much lower. I also assumed a lesser [influence of seasonality“. Primarily Lauterbach is referring to the seasonality-minimising studies of of Harvard epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch …
6. … which led Drosten to predict (twice!) late spring/summer infection peaks. Already by May 2020 this view was totally falsified, as has been clear to everyone except fools like Karl Lauterbach, who wants *you* to wear a mask on the train, but doesn‘t bother himself.pic.twitter.com/yGkF8t7req
7. Lauterbach: „This would be good news. Because relaxing measures in the summer wouldn’t threaten the success of vaccination“. The whole point, Lauterbach, is that the decline in cases we are seeing IS NOT THE VACCINES, IT IS SEASONALITY. WE SAW THE VERY SAME DECLINE LAST YEAR
8. Vaccine efficacy won‘t truly be tested until the winter. We don‘t know how they will hold up. I‘m not optimistic.
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