I reject modelling as a basis for making decisions because I believe it to be a form of nonsense shamanism.https://twitter.com/LordUrquhart/status/1397581906414346243 …
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Of course this always fails, but the models can be saved in retrospect, as the modellers return to whatever happened and adjust the parameters so the models accord with past infections. In Germany, for example, all the models predicted a huge spike around Easter ...
... which never happened. So the quack regime-adjacent modellers invented an "Easter effect" (caused by the Christian faithful succumbing to gvt propaganda & not celebrating Easter), an additional made-to-fit variable that saved all their other unfounded assumptions.
