eugyppius

That’s insane that you are still on lockdown there given the season.

a sliver of hope is they relax a bit after the election in september. part of this is the CDU posturing for their median-age-68 voting base.

But seasonality will hit and the Greens, who will govern in some form, have a voter base that is much more zerocovid than even the Union's, seeing how state employees get paid in any case.

I don't know how seriously to take No-Covidians, to be honest. I'm not sure they'll be a force in the fall. The worst case scenario, is Baerbock hangs a truly hard lockdown that ends up causing shortages or widespread unrest, the sort of problem that solves itself.

I understand why you are sanguine about this but I think shortages are a plus for the left; they get to offer ubi or whatever to solve the problem, they will blame rightists for any challenges.

it will widen the base of opposition; obviously everything will be cast as our fault or a reason for yet mire leftist interventions, until we reach a certain minimum point. i remain convinced that lockdowns are primarily a policy of prosperity ...

... and will become less viable, the less prosperous we become.

running into the wall hasn't really stopped venezuela or argentina from more economic left-ing ...